Here is a snapshot of Dial Idol, a "prediction" of how the voting results will go down tonight.
Dr. L and I will post our predictions in a little bit, but I thought I'd throw this up here as a way to ask, "WTF?"
I don't think Danny sucked last night, but #1? No way in hell. It wasn't anywhere near one of his best nights. Lil is obviously gaining some votes as a result of being Vote For The Worst's pick, but #2?
And if you skip on down to Kris at the bottom, it is even trickier. I think a lot of people like Kris, and he has a good voice, but the past couple of weeks have not been his best. I am perhaps on the island of unpopular opinion in saying perhaps Kris deserves to be low in the polls this week, but will he really get the boot? You wouldn't think so if you read some of the polls on the web. Quite a number have speculated that Lil is being thrown under the bus in favor of keeping Allison in the competition, and if so, who could blame Idol? Taking it a step further, if Lil does get the boot, will they use the Magic "Save" for her -- or did her sass back to Simon cost her, the same way that Megan Joy may have sabotaged herself?
Now you see my WTF mindset.
-- K
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2 comments:
Excellent analysis. Thanks for the link. It confirms one thing that has been my suspicion for a while, that Danny is the top vote getter, not because he is the best, but similar to Taylor Hicks, who was definitely not the best in season 5, he has a likeability factor that is driving the vote. Also, he has made no effort to hide the fact that he is "Christian" and as a result, I think there is a big push in the Christian community to vote for him, especially with a "heathen" like Adam Lambert in the competition.
I think you are right on the money with the Christian vote keeping Danny buoyant. It reminded me of all the times Idol shows us clips of his background with the church; this may also go some way towards explaining Lil's voting position this week after she "went Gospel" on her song (though her statement of that is kind of hard to match up with the weirdly uneven performance).
Maybe some voters hear references to religious belief and decide to support those contestants no matter how they sang. And likeability is definitely key.
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